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Futures Vs Gambling
The exchange of assets occurs on the date specified in the contract. These are distinguished from generic forward contracts in that they contain standardized terms, trade on a formal exchange, are regulated by overseeing agencies, and are guaranteed by clearinghouses. Also, in order to insure that payment will occur, this has a margin requirement that must be settled daily. Finally, by making an offsetting trade, taking delivery of goods, or arranging for an exchange of goods, these contracts can be closed. Hedgers often trade futures for the purpose of keeping price risk in check also called futures contract.
Gambling (or betting) is any behavior involving risking money or valuables (making a wager or placing a stake) on the outcome of a game, contest, or other event in which the outcome of that activity depends partially or totally upon chance or upon one’s ability to do something.
The market is like a stream that is in constant motion. It doesn’t start, stop, or wait for anyone or anything. Even when the index of the markets is closed, prices are still in motion. There is no rule that the opening price on any day must be the same as the closing price the day before. There aren’t any beginnings, middles, or endings in index
This makes the index of trading markets a limitless environment, where virtually anything can happen at any moment, and there are no structures or rules to follow. Even gambling games have built-in structures, which sets them apart from index futures trading -and makes them a lot less dangerous. For example, if you decide to play blackjack, the first thing you have to do is decide how much you are going to wager, or risk. This is a choice you are forced to make by the rules of the game. If you don’t make the choice, you don’t get to play.
A standardized, transferable, exchange-traded contract that requires delivery of a commodity, bond, currency, or stock index, at a specified price, on a specified date is Futures. Unlike options, convey an obligation to buy. The risk to the holder is unlimited, and because the payoff pattern is symmetrical, the risk to the seller is unlimited as well. Dollars lost and gained by each party on a contract are equal and opposite. In other words, there are zero – sum games. These contracts are forward contracts, meaning they represent a pledge to make a certain transaction at a future date. IMAGINE you are an institutional investor and it is written into the Constitution that, if necessary, taxpayers will bail you out. That will probably increase your appetite for risk. Imagine further that the higher the return you expect (not adjusted for risk) the less money you have to pay in contributions. Even more reason to go for the gamble—it’s all upside and no downside. That probably explains the state pension plans are investing in riskier exotic assets, post-crisis, than private plans, which are decreasing their risk exposure.
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